How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cashmere Technical, at 56.5%. The other outcomes represent 43.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.5% · Draw: 23.2% · Away win: 20.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cashmere Technical 1860; Wellington Phoenix II 1630. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League - National · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 01:00
Cashmere Technical
Elo 1860
vs
Wellington Phoenix II
Elo 1630
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+230
Elo rating comparison
Cashmere Technical1860
Wellington Phoenix II1630
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cashmere Technical
—Draws
—Wellington Phoenix II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
Home
57%
Draw
23%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
31%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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