How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Plaza Amador, at 64.4%. The other outcomes represent 35.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.4% · Draw: 19.5% · Away win: 16%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Plaza Amador 1758; Deportivo Universitario 1485. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 01:30
Plaza Amador
Elo 1758
vs
Deportivo Universitario
Elo 1485
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+273
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Plaza Amador1758
Deportivo Universitario1485
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Plaza Amador
0Draws
0Deportivo Universitario
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
Home
64%
Draw
20%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
40%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.