How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Las Vegas Lights, at 44.4%. The other outcomes represent 55.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.4% · Draw: 26.4% · Away win: 29.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Las Vegas Lights 1514; San Antonio 1607. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
USL Championship · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 02:30
Las Vegas Lights
Elo 1514
vs
San Antonio
Elo 1607
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
5D
0L
Elo Advantage
-92
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Las Vegas Lights1514
San Antonio1607
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Las Vegas Lights
0Draws
0San Antonio
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
26%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
45%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.