How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cruz Azul W, at 70.9%. The other outcomes represent 29.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.8% · Draw: 12.3% · Away win: 70.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Necaxa W 1072; Cruz Azul W 1557. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga MX Femenil · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 03:10
Necaxa W
Elo 1072
vs
Cruz Azul W
Elo 1557
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-485
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Necaxa W1072
Cruz Azul W1557
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Necaxa W
0Draws
2Cruz Azul W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
Home
17%
Draw
12%
Away
71%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
64% conf.
Home
14%
Draw
21%
Away
64%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.