How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Dangjin Citizen, at 43.0%. The other outcomes represent 57.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 33.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Dangjin Citizen 1528; Gyeongju HNP 1578. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
K3 League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 05:00
Dangjin Citizen
Elo 1528
vs
Gyeongju HNP
Elo 1578
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-50
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Dangjin Citizen1528
Gyeongju HNP1578
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Dangjin Citizen
2Draws
0Gyeongju HNP
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
23%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
41%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.