How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Busan Transportation, at 54.5%. The other outcomes represent 45.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.4% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 54.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mokpo City 1411; Busan Transportation 1598. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
K3 League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 05:00
Mokpo City
Elo 1411
vs
Busan Transportation
Elo 1598
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-187
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Mokpo City1411
Busan Transportation1598
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Mokpo City
0Draws
2Busan Transportation
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
21%
Away
54%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
38%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.