How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Blaublitz Akita, at 37.6%. The other outcomes represent 62.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.6% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 35%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Blaublitz Akita 1541; Sagan Tosu 1600. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J2 League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 05:00
Blaublitz Akita
Elo 1541
vs
Sagan Tosu
Elo 1600
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-59
Elo rating comparison
Blaublitz Akita1541
Sagan Tosu1600
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Blaublitz Akita
—Draws
—Sagan Tosu
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
27%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
45%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.