How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Maharlika, at 75.6%. The other outcomes represent 24.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 75.6% · Draw: 12.8% · Away win: 11.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Maharlika 1477; Philippine Army 1139. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
PFL · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 07:00
Maharlika
Elo 1477
vs
Philippine Army
Elo 1139
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+338
H2H (7)
5H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Maharlika1477
Philippine Army1139
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5Maharlika
2Draws
0Philippine Army
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
Home
76%
Draw
13%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Half-Time Result
66% conf.
Home
66%
Draw
25%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.