How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Central Stallions, at 59.5%. The other outcomes represent 40.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.5% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 22.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Central Stallions 1660; Khovd Western 1474. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 05:00
Central Stallions
Elo 1660
vs
Khovd Western
Elo 1474
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+186
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Central Stallions1660
Khovd Western1474
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Central Stallions
2Draws
0Khovd Western
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
Home
59%
Draw
18%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
35%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.