How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Golden Arrows U23, at 56.7%. The other outcomes represent 43.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.1% · Draw: 19.3% · Away win: 56.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Polokwane City U23 1289; Golden Arrows U23 1463. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Diski Challenge · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 08:00
Polokwane City U23
Elo 1289
vs
Golden Arrows U23
Elo 1463
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-174
H2H (5)
0H
1D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Polokwane City U231289
Golden Arrows U231463
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Polokwane City U23
1Draws
4Golden Arrows U23
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
19%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
33%
Away
46%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.