How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Zlín II, at 42.9%. The other outcomes represent 57.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.3% · Draw: 19.8% · Away win: 42.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Karviná II 1515; Zlín II 1604. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. liga - MSFL · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 08:15
Karviná II
Elo 1515
0
-
1
Zlín II
Elo 1604
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-89
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Karviná II1515
Zlín II1604
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Karviná II
0Draws
2Zlín II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
20%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
35%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.