How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nitra, at 53.1%. The other outcomes represent 46.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.4% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 53.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Trenčín II 1579; Nitra 1637. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. liga - West · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 08:30
Trenčín II
Elo 1579
2
-
4
Nitra
Elo 1637
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-58
H2H (3)
0H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Trenčín II1579
Nitra1637
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Trenčín II
0Draws
3Nitra
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
Draw
21%
Away
53%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
32%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.