How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is III. Kerületi TUE, at 54.8%. The other outcomes represent 45.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.6% · Draw: 18.6% · Away win: 54.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Honvéd II 1546; III. Kerületi TUE 1764. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NB III - Southeast · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 09:00
Honvéd II
Elo 1546
1
-
0
III. Kerületi TUE
Elo 1764
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-218
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Honvéd II1546
III. Kerületi TUE1764
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Honvéd II
0Draws
2III. Kerületi TUE
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
19%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
37%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.