How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bochum W, at 40.1%. The other outcomes represent 59.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.3% · Draw: 20.6% · Away win: 40.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ingolstadt W 1470; Bochum W 1525. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Frauen Bundesliga · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 09:00
Ingolstadt W
Elo 1470
3
-
3
Bochum W
Elo 1525
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-55
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ingolstadt W1470
Bochum W1525
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Ingolstadt W
0Draws
0Bochum W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
21%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
40%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.