How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Numancia, at 38.6%. The other outcomes represent 61.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.6% · Draw: 30.8% · Away win: 38.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Getafe II 1639; Numancia 1763. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 10:00
Getafe II
Elo 1639
0
-
0
Numancia
Elo 1763
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-124
Elo rating comparison
Getafe II1639
Numancia1763
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Getafe II
—Draws
—Numancia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
@ 2.96
Draw
31%
@ 3.05
Away
39%
@ 2.35
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 1.93
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.50
No
42%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.31
No
30%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
@ 3.72
Draw
47%
@ 1.95
Away
30%
@ 3.15
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.49
No
41%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
@ 1.42
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.