How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tegevajaro Miyazaki, at 35.9%. The other outcomes represent 64.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.9% · Draw: 29.4% · Away win: 34.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1653; Omiya Ardija 1636. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J2 League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 10:00
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Elo 1653
1
-
1
Omiya Ardija
Elo 1636
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+17
Elo rating comparison
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1653
Omiya Ardija1636
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tegevajaro Miyazaki
—Draws
—Omiya Ardija
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
@ 2.66
Draw
29%
@ 3.36
Away
35%
@ 2.37
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.61
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.50
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.39
No
37%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
@ 3.25
Draw
48%
@ 2.22
Away
26%
@ 2.93
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.33
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.23
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.