How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rubin Kazan 2, at 61.8%. The other outcomes represent 38.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.8% · Draw: 24.3% · Away win: 13.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Rubin Kazan 2 1420; Chelyabinsk II 1305. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League - Group 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Rubin Kazan 2
Elo 1420
1
-
0
Chelyabinsk II
Elo 1305
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+115
H2H (10)
0H
0D
10A
Elo rating comparison
Rubin Kazan 21420
Chelyabinsk II1305
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Rubin Kazan 2
0Draws
10Chelyabinsk II
10 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
62%
Draw
24%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
41%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.