How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Union Brescia, at 45.4%. The other outcomes represent 54.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.7% · Draw: 29.9% · Away win: 45.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lecco 1583; Union Brescia 1729. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie C - Girone A · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 10:30
Lecco
Elo 1583
2
-
2
Union Brescia
Elo 1729
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-146
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Lecco1583
Union Brescia1729
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Lecco
0Draws
2Union Brescia
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
@ 4.06
Draw
30%
@ 3.31
Away
45%
@ 1.84
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 2.01
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.83
No
47%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
@ 1.17
No
21%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
16%
@ 4.80
Draw
50%
@ 2.01
Away
34%
@ 2.52
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.48
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.39
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
@ 2.22
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.