How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hønefoss W, at 56.5%. The other outcomes represent 43.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.5% · Draw: 21.9% · Away win: 21.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hønefoss W 1522; Bodø / Glimt W 1383. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Toppserien · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 11:00
Hønefoss W
Elo 1522
3
-
0
Bodø / Glimt W
Elo 1383
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+138
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Hønefoss W1522
Bodø / Glimt W1383
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Hønefoss W
2Draws
0Bodø / Glimt W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
22%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
37%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.