How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lyn W, at 45.7%. The other outcomes represent 54.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.7% · Draw: 25.5% · Away win: 28.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lyn W 1563; Haugesund W 1556. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Toppserien · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 11:00
Lyn W
Elo 1563
4
-
3
Haugesund W
Elo 1556
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+7
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Lyn W1563
Haugesund W1556
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Lyn W
0Draws
0Haugesund W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
40%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.