How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Göteborg W, at 62.8%. The other outcomes represent 37.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.8% · Draw: 17.8% · Away win: 19.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Göteborg W 1804; Alingsås W 1488. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Elitettan · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 11:00
Göteborg W
Elo 1804
2
-
1
Alingsås W
Elo 1488
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+316
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Göteborg W1804
Alingsås W1488
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Göteborg W
2Draws
0Alingsås W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
Draw
33%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.