How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Västra Frölunda, at 50.4%. The other outcomes represent 49.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.6% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 50.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Astrio 1342; Västra Frölunda 1528. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 11:00
Astrio
Elo 1342
1
-
1
Västra Frölunda
Elo 1528
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-187
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Astrio1342
Västra Frölunda1528
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Astrio
0Draws
2Västra Frölunda
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
18%
Away
50%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
41%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.