How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Madla, at 61.1%. The other outcomes represent 38.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.1% · Draw: 17.1% · Away win: 21.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Madla 1633; Brodd 1461. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
Madla
Elo 1633
0
-
1
Brodd
Elo 1461
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+172
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Madla1633
Brodd1461
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Madla
0Draws
0Brodd
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
61%
Draw
17%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
33%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.