How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Karlskrona, at 66.3%. The other outcomes represent 33.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 66.3% · Draw: 16.9% · Away win: 16.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Karlskrona 1723; Linero 1473. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 - Södra Götaland · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
Karlskrona
Elo 1723
2
-
1
Linero
Elo 1473
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+250
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Karlskrona1723
Linero1473
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Karlskrona
0Draws
0Linero
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
66%
Draw
17%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
53%
Draw
36%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.