How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is St. Pölten W, at 68.7%. The other outcomes represent 31.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.7% · Draw: 15.5% · Away win: 15.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: St. Pölten W 1880; Sturm Graz W 1703. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Frauenliga · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
St. Pölten W
Elo 1880
2
-
2
Sturm Graz W
Elo 1703
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+177
H2H (5)
5H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
St. Pölten W1880
Sturm Graz W1703
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5St. Pölten W
0Draws
0Sturm Graz W
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
WRONG
Home
69%
Draw
15%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
33%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.