How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Heider SV, at 40.6%. The other outcomes represent 59.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.6% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 40.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Oldenburger SV 1494; Heider SV 1572. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
Oldenburger SV
Elo 1494
4
-
0
Heider SV
Elo 1572
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-78
Elo rating comparison
Oldenburger SV1494
Heider SV1572
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Oldenburger SV
—Draws
—Heider SV
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
23%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
32%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.