How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is 68 Aksaray Belediyespor, at 50.2%. The other outcomes represent 49.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.2% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 25.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1652; Ankaraspor 1623. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Lig · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Elo 1652
0
-
1
Ankaraspor
Elo 1623
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+29
Elo rating comparison
68 Aksaray Belediyespor1652
Ankaraspor1623
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—68 Aksaray Belediyespor
—Draws
—Ankaraspor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
39%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.