How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kastamonuspor 1966, at 49.0%. The other outcomes represent 51.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 28.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kastamonuspor 1966 1547; Arnavutköy Belediyespor 1526. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Lig · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
Kastamonuspor 1966
Elo 1547
2
-
1
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Elo 1526
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+21
Elo rating comparison
Kastamonuspor 19661547
Arnavutköy Belediyespor1526
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Kastamonuspor 1966
—Draws
—Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
23%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
46%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.