How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Buchholz, at 42.3%. The other outcomes represent 57.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 42.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nikola Tesla 1466; Buchholz 1568. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Hamburg · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:30
Nikola Tesla
Elo 1466
6
-
1
Buchholz
Elo 1568
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-101
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Nikola Tesla1466
Buchholz1568
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Nikola Tesla
0Draws
2Buchholz
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
37%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.