How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Baník Kalinovo, at 52.3%. The other outcomes represent 47.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.3% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 24.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Baník Kalinovo 1423; Sokol Medzibrod 1436. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. liga - Center · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Baník Kalinovo
Elo 1423
3
-
0
Sokol Medzibrod
Elo 1436
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-13
Elo rating comparison
Baník Kalinovo1423
Sokol Medzibrod1436
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Baník Kalinovo
—Draws
—Sokol Medzibrod
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
40%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.