How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Havlíčkův Brod, at 37.8%. The other outcomes represent 62.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.2% · Draw: 25% · Away win: 37.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chotebor 1396; Havlíčkův Brod 1457. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
4. liga - Divizie D · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Chotebor
Elo 1396
0
-
1
Havlíčkův Brod
Elo 1457
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-61
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Chotebor1396
Havlíčkův Brod1457
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Chotebor
0Draws
0Havlíčkův Brod
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
25%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
36%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.