How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Znojmo, at 69.3%. The other outcomes represent 30.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.3% · Draw: 15.9% · Away win: 14.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Znojmo 1516; Humpolec 1349. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
4. liga - Divizie D · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Znojmo
Elo 1516
0
-
2
Humpolec
Elo 1349
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+167
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Znojmo1516
Humpolec1349
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Znojmo
0Draws
2Humpolec
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
WRONG
Home
69%
Draw
16%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
WRONG
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
37%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.