How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kravare, at 63.7%. The other outcomes represent 36.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63.7% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 15%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kravare 1537; Pustá Polom 1362. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
4. liga - Divizie F · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Kravare
Elo 1537
2
-
1
Pustá Polom
Elo 1362
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+175
Elo rating comparison
Kravare1537
Pustá Polom1362
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Kravare
—Draws
—Pustá Polom
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
54%
Draw
30%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.