How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Šumperk, at 39.5%. The other outcomes represent 60.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.5% · Draw: 23.2% · Away win: 37.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Šumperk 1390; Bílovec 1432. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
4. liga - Divizie F · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Šumperk
Elo 1390
1
-
1
Bílovec
Elo 1432
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-43
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Šumperk1390
Bílovec1432
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Šumperk
2Draws
0Bílovec
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
23%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
40%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.