How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Knokke, at 53.6%. The other outcomes represent 46.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.6% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 24.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Knokke 1740; Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 1623. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First Amateur Division · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Knokke
Elo 1740
3
-
2
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Elo 1623
FT
HT 3-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+116
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Knokke1740
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II1623
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Knokke
0Draws
0Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
37%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.