How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paris Saint Germain W, at 63.2%. The other outcomes represent 36.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.2% · Draw: 17.6% · Away win: 63.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Fleury 91 W 1689; Paris Saint Germain W 2029. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Feminine Division 1 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
FC Fleury 91 W
Elo 1689
1
-
3
Paris Saint Germain W
Elo 2029
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-340
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
FC Fleury 91 W1689
Paris Saint Germain W2029
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0FC Fleury 91 W
0Draws
4Paris Saint Germain W
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
18%
Away
63%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
33%
Away
46%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.