How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Balingen, at 40.7%. The other outcomes represent 59.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.7% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 40.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Karlsruhe II 1501; Balingen 1587. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Karlsruhe II
Elo 1501
2
-
1
Balingen
Elo 1587
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-85
Elo rating comparison
Karlsruhe II1501
Balingen1587
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Karlsruhe II
—Draws
—Balingen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
27%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
37%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.