How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Acren-Lessines, at 69.0%. The other outcomes represent 31.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69% · Draw: 17.9% · Away win: 13.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Acren-Lessines 1609; Union Namur 1473. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second Amateur Division - ACFF · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Acren-Lessines
Elo 1609
4
-
1
Union Namur
Elo 1473
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+137
Elo rating comparison
Acren-Lessines1609
Union Namur1473
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Acren-Lessines
—Draws
—Union Namur
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
Draw
18%
Away
13%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
Draw
34%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.