How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Schonnebeck, at 43.7%. The other outcomes represent 56.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.7% · Draw: 21.9% · Away win: 34.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Schonnebeck 1787; Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1733. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Niederrhein · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Schonnebeck
Elo 1787
3
-
2
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Elo 1733
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+54
Elo rating comparison
Schonnebeck1787
Fortuna Düsseldorf II1733
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Schonnebeck
—Draws
—Fortuna Düsseldorf II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
22%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
38%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.