How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fortuna Köln II, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.6% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 42.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hennef 05 1478; Fortuna Köln II 1565. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Mittelrhein · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Hennef 05
Elo 1478
0
-
1
Fortuna Köln II
Elo 1565
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-86
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Hennef 051478
Fortuna Köln II1565
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Hennef 05
0Draws
2Fortuna Köln II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
20%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
38%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.