How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Wegberg-Beeck, at 66.1%. The other outcomes represent 33.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17% · Draw: 16.8% · Away win: 66.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Porz 1371; Wegberg-Beeck 1640. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Mittelrhein · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Porz
Elo 1371
0
-
1
Wegberg-Beeck
Elo 1640
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-269
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Porz1371
Wegberg-Beeck1640
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Porz
0Draws
0Wegberg-Beeck
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
Draw
17%
Away
66%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
36%
Away
44%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.