How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Posušje, at 49.8%. The other outcomes represent 50.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.8% · Draw: 23% · Away win: 27.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Posušje 1691; Sloboda Tuzla 1611. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1st League - FBiH · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:00
Posušje
Elo 1691
2
-
0
Sloboda Tuzla
Elo 1611
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+80
Elo rating comparison
Posušje1691
Sloboda Tuzla1611
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Posušje
—Draws
—Sloboda Tuzla
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
23%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
41%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.