How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stupčanica Olovo, at 62.7%. The other outcomes represent 37.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.7% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 15.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stupčanica Olovo 1621; Zvijezda Gradačac 1527. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1st League - FBiH · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Stupčanica Olovo
Elo 1621
1
-
1
Zvijezda Gradačac
Elo 1527
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+93
Elo rating comparison
Stupčanica Olovo1621
Zvijezda Gradačac1527
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Stupčanica Olovo
—Draws
—Zvijezda Gradačac
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
WRONG
Home
63%
Draw
22%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
38%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.