How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pro Palazzolo, at 38.3%. The other outcomes represent 61.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.8% · Draw: 25.8% · Away win: 38.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Brusaporto 1537; Pro Palazzolo 1586. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone B · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Brusaporto
Elo 1537
0
-
1
Pro Palazzolo
Elo 1586
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-50
Elo rating comparison
Brusaporto1537
Pro Palazzolo1586
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Brusaporto
—Draws
—Pro Palazzolo
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
26%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
41%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.