How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is LME, at 45.3%. The other outcomes represent 54.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.3% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 31.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: LME 1517; Cjarlins Muzane 1575. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone C · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:30
LME
Elo 1517
0
-
3
Cjarlins Muzane
Elo 1575
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-58
Elo rating comparison
LME1517
Cjarlins Muzane1575
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—LME
—Draws
—Cjarlins Muzane
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
23%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
44%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.