How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Prato, at 41.7%. The other outcomes represent 58.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.1% · Draw: 24.3% · Away win: 41.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Terranuova Traiana 1488; Prato 1610. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone E · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Terranuova Traiana
Elo 1488
1
-
1
Prato
Elo 1610
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-122
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Terranuova Traiana1488
Prato1610
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Terranuova Traiana
0Draws
2Prato
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
24%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
40%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.