How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Latte Dolce, at 46.2%. The other outcomes represent 53.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.2% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 29.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Latte Dolce 1426; Sarrabus Ogliastra 1435. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone G · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Latte Dolce
Elo 1426
1
-
0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Elo 1435
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-9
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Latte Dolce1426
Sarrabus Ogliastra1435
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Latte Dolce
0Draws
0Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
24%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
41%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.