How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Unipomezia, at 56.1%. The other outcomes represent 43.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.1% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 22.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Unipomezia 1516; Atletico Lodigiani 1435. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone G · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Unipomezia
Elo 1516
3
-
1
Atletico Lodigiani
Elo 1435
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+81
Elo rating comparison
Unipomezia1516
Atletico Lodigiani1435
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Unipomezia
—Draws
—Atletico Lodigiani
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
34%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.