How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Baunatal, at 40.1%. The other outcomes represent 59.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.1% · Draw: 21.8% · Away win: 40.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kassel 2 1461; Baunatal 1528. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Hessen · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:30
Kassel 2
Elo 1461
2
-
0
Baunatal
Elo 1528
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-67
Elo rating comparison
Kassel 21461
Baunatal1528
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Kassel 2
—Draws
—Baunatal
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
22%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
33%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.