How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Büderich, at 52.2%. The other outcomes represent 47.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.2% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 27%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Büderich 1492; Holzheimer SG 1401. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Niederrhein · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:30
Büderich
Elo 1492
2
-
3
Holzheimer SG
Elo 1401
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+91
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Büderich1492
Holzheimer SG1401
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Büderich
0Draws
2Holzheimer SG
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
31%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.